[/av_textblock] [/av_three_fifth][av_two_fifth min_height=” vertical_alignment=’av-align-top’ space=” row_boxshadow=” row_boxshadow_width=’10’ row_boxshadow_color=” custom_margin=” margin=’0px’ av-desktop-margin=” av-medium-margin=” av-small-margin=” av-mini-margin=” mobile_breaking=” mobile_column_order=” border=” border_style=’solid’ border_color=” radius=” min_col_height=” padding=” av-desktop-padding=” av-medium-padding=” av-small-padding=” av-mini-padding=” svg_div_top=” svg_div_top_color=’#333333′ svg_div_top_width=’100′ svg_div_top_height=’50’ svg_div_top_max_height=’none’ svg_div_top_flip=” svg_div_top_invert=” svg_div_top_front=” svg_div_top_opacity=” svg_div_top_preview=” svg_div_bottom=” svg_div_bottom_color=’#333333′ svg_div_bottom_width=’100′ svg_div_bottom_height=’50’ svg_div_bottom_max_height=’none’ svg_div_bottom_flip=” svg_div_bottom_invert=” svg_div_bottom_front=” svg_div_bottom_opacity=” svg_div_bottom_preview=” column_boxshadow=” column_boxshadow_width=’10’ column_boxshadow_color=” background=’bg_color’ background_color=” background_gradient_direction=’vertical’ background_gradient_color1=’#000000′ background_gradient_color2=’#ffffff’ background_gradient_color3=” src=” background_position=’top left’ background_repeat=’no-repeat’ highlight=” highlight_size=” animation=” animation_duration=” animation_custom_bg_color=” animation_z_index_curtain=’100′ parallax_parallax=” parallax_parallax_speed=” av-desktop-parallax_parallax=” av-desktop-parallax_parallax_speed=” av-medium-parallax_parallax=” av-medium-parallax_parallax_speed=” av-small-parallax_parallax=” av-small-parallax_parallax_speed=” av-mini-parallax_parallax=” av-mini-parallax_parallax_speed=” css_position=” css_position_location=” css_position_z_index=” av-desktop-css_position=” av-desktop-css_position_location=” av-desktop-css_position_z_index=” av-medium-css_position=” av-medium-css_position_location=” av-medium-css_position_z_index=” av-small-css_position=” av-small-css_position_location=” av-small-css_position_z_index=” av-mini-css_position=” av-mini-css_position_location=” av-mini-css_position_z_index=” link=” linktarget=” link_hover=” title_attr=” alt_attr=” mobile_display=” mobile_col_pos=’0′ id=” custom_class=” template_class=” aria_label=” av_uid=’av-gpuctn6′ sc_version=’1.0′] [av_textblock textblock_styling_align=” textblock_styling=” textblock_styling_gap=” textblock_styling_mobile=” size=” av-desktop-font-size=” av-medium-font-size=” av-small-font-size=” av-mini-font-size=” font_color=” color=” id=” custom_class=” template_class=” av_uid=’av-ljnvibik’ sc_version=’1.0′ admin_preview_bg=”] Wenn also am nächsten Sonntag Bundestagswahlen wären?
Dann würde die AfD naturgemäß weiter zulegen.
Es ist nicht die fantastische Politik der AfD die die Leute dazu bewegen würde, die AfD zu wählen, es ist der desolate Zustand der sogenannten Alt-Parteien.
Der sogenannten Ampel Koalition gelingt gar nichts. Einfach gar nichts. Man lobt sich zwar für gar nichts, jedoch erreicht dieses Lob die Bürger schon lange nicht mehr.
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Auch die ständige Abdrängung der Kritiker in die rechte Ecke, bewirkt nun nichts mehr.
Hätte der Kanzler neben seinem dümmlich wirkenden Grinsen, noch zusätzlich Rückgrat und Verantwortungsbewusstsein, so würde er das Land nicht in dieses Experiment treiben.
Er würde die Regierung auflösen mit sofortiger Wirkung.
Wir möchten darauf hinweisen, dass sämtliche Grafiken in diesem Artikel von der Webseite : https://dawum.de sind. Dieses Webseitenprojekt führt eine automatisierte Auswertung durch und ist daher in der Lage eine Sitzverteilung und mögliche Koalitionen in Echtzeit sehr schnell zu berechnen.
Nun muss man sich durchaus bewusst sein, dass faktisch jede Wahluntersuchung und deren präsentiertes Ergebnis einen gewissen Zweck erfüllen soll.
Je nach beauftragtem Institut steht das Ergebnis mehr oder minder vorher fest. Es soll diese und jene Partei hervorheben.
Den Rest machen dann die viel zu hoch bezahlten Redakteure der unseligen Fernsehsender, die lang und breit daher schwafeln, warum das Ergebnis so toll ist.
Deutlich besser wäre es sicherlich die nackten Zahlen und zwar von mehreren Solcher Institute zusammen zu legen und gemeinsam zu bewerten.
Genau das macht das Internetportal DAWUM.
Dort heißt es:
Dieser DAWUM-Wahltrend zur Bundestagswahl wertet insgesamt 8 Wahlumfragen aus, die im Zeitraum vom 16.06.2023 bis zum 04.07.2023 veröffentlicht wurden, und berechnet deren gewichteten Durchschnitt. Zusammengerechnet wurden 21845 Wahlberechtigte befragt.
Auswahl und Übersicht der Wahlumfragen
Von jedem Institut wird nur die neueste Wahlumfrage (Sonntagsfrage) in die Auswertung einbezogen, solange deren letzter Befragungstag innerhalb von 20 Tagen vor der Wahlumfrage mit dem aktuellsten letzten Befragungstag liegt. Deshalb werden in diesem Wahltrend nur Wahlumfragen berücksichtigt, deren letzter Tag des Befragungszeitraums mindestens der 13.06.2023 ist.
Die Wahlumfragen des Wahltrends in der Übersicht werden nach dem letzten Tag des Befragungszeitraums sortiert. Rot markiert sind die niedrigsten und grün markiert die höchsten Umfragewerte jeder Partei. Sofern bei bestimmten Instituten kein Umfragewert für eine Partei angegeben wurde, wird n.a. angezeigt.
Hier gibt es eine Diskrepanz beispielsweise bei der AfD von 4 % ( von 21% zu 17 %)
Je nachdem also wie die hochgeschätzte geschätzte Sprecherpuppe von ZDF oder ARD das Ergebnis gern darstellen möchte.
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Grafik von dawum.de (Lizenz: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
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Das wirft natürlich die wirklich spannende Frage nach möglichen Koalitionen auf.
Wer mit wem und wer gar nicht mit wem und wer trommelt zwar aber machts dann doch.
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Nun zum Schluss wollen wir uns noch die Veränderungen zum Wahlergebnis 2021 anschauen.
Es überrascht eigentlich niemand, dass die SPD der starke Verlierer sein wird.
Egal wie, die SPD wird keine große Rolle mehr spielen. Man hat sich nachhaltig ins OFF katapultiert.
Genauso muss man das von der FDP sagen.
Die Kriegshetze der Parteifreunde der FDP ist wirklich unterirdisch.
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Grafik von dawum.de (Lizenz: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
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Hervorzuheben sind sicher Frau Strack-Zimmermann und der Abgeordnete Marcus Faber.
Die Arbeit von Christian Lindner fiel irgendwie gar nicht besonders auf. Hat er irgendwas besonders toll gemacht außer Kohle für die Ukraine herbeizuschaufeln?
Ist ja toll, interessiert aber den deutschen Wähler nur als Negativaspekt seiner Arbeit.
Wahlsieger ist bislang eindeutig die AfD – auch wenn die Ergebnisse noch nicht feststehen, so kann man prognostizierend sicher davon sprechen
In den nächsten Tagen schauen wir uns mal die Prognosen für
Hessen und Bayern an, die beide demnächst Landtagswahlen haben.
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